02/28/2010 (3:12 am)

Pleasant Hill Commons sells for $12.4M

Filed under: management |

A new Illinois non-traded real investment estate trust (REIT) bought the Pleasant Hill Commons shopping center in Kissimmee for $12.4 million in cash.

Inland Diversified Kissimmee LLC, a related entity to Oakbrook, Ill.-based Inland Diversified Real Estate Trust Inc., bought the 70,642-square-foot Publix-anchored shopping center from Winter Park-based MCP Retail LLC on Feb. 18, said a filing with the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission. MCP Retail LLC is an entity related to developer Michael Collard Properties Inc.

Lou Quilici of Inland Real Estate Acquisitions Inc. handled the transaction, said a news release.

The property is 100 percent leased, the SEC filing said, and has tenants including Tijuana Flats, Subway, Jackson Hewitt, Metro PCS, Pizza Hut, BonWorth and Fantastic Sams.

Inland Diversified Real Estate Trust filed its prospectus in August 2009 to be taxed as a REIT beginning with the tax year ended Dec flexcheck cash advance. 31. This was the firm’s second purchase and was funded by proceeds from its initial public offering, the SEC filing said. The REIT focuses on the acquisition and development of a diversified portfolio of commercial real estate assets.

The REIT is related to The Inland Real Estate Group of Companies Inc., a fast-growing buyer of retail property in the United States and one of the largest shopping center owners in North America. Inland-sponsored firms own and manage more than 113 million square feet of commercial real estate in 46 states and manage properties valued at more than $25.3 billion.

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02/22/2010 (10:54 pm)

Tax savings can be substantial through standard deduction

Filed under: economics |

American taxpayers, if you believe in stereotypes, are scurrying around this time of year, rummaging shoeboxes for receipts and other paperwork to support itemized tax-deduction claims.

In reality, most taxpayers, including me, don’t bother itemizing deductions, which must be reported on a tax form called "Schedule A" and require proof in case of an audit. We don’t bother because the basic standard deduction, which is free for the taking, is higher than all the itemized deductions most of us can legitimately claim. The basic standard deduction requires no documentation and is entered on the main 1040 tax form.

For 2009 returns, thanks to what Congress enacted as temporary measures, the standard deduction will be even higher for many Americans who meet qualifications. The higher the standard deduction is, the lower the taxable income and tax bill are.

The downside is increased complexity, including a new tax form to fill out called Schedule L.

"The standard deduction isn’t so standard anymore," said Mark Luscombe, principal federal tax analyst for tax publisher CCH, a Wolters Kluwer business. "For some people, filling out this schedule will probably entail as much figuring as taking a few itemized deductions on Schedule A."

For a little bit of work, though, the tax savings can be significant.

For the 2009 tax year, the basic standard deduction is $5,700 for singles and $11,400 for joint filers. Blind people and those 65 years old or older as of Jan. 1, 2010, can claim an additional $1,100 standard deduction for 2009. (Therefore, a couple filing jointly, both 65 or older and blind, would take an additional $4,400 deduction). Higher deductions for seniors and the blind have been part of the tax code for years and are not likely to be discontinued, Luscombe said.

In addition, in what are supposed to be temporary measures to boost housing and the economy:

— Non-itemizers can claim an additional standard deduction for state and local property taxes paid in 2009, up to $500 for single taxpayers and $1,000 for joint filers.

This extra deduction, first available for 2008 returns and later extended for 2009, was part of a legislative package aimed at boosting a sagging real estate market. "Much of the package rewarded people for buying homes," Luscombe said, and the extra deduction benefits people who have no mortgage (like me) or don’t pay enough interest on it to be able to itemize. The deduction expired at the end of 2009 but is likely to be extended to 2010, Luscombe believes.

— Another provision effective since 2008 allows taxpayers who have experienced casualty losses in areas the U.S. president has declared disaster areas to take those losses as an additional standard deduction.

"This is especially valuable to people who may experience a few thousand dollars in losses that they can ill afford, but whose losses are not large enough" to itemize (because the basic standard deduction would be larger), Luscombe said.

This deduction is not available to taxpayers in the Midwest Disaster Area of 2008, for whom different rules apply.

— Subject to income limits, non-itemizers who bought a new car in 2009 on or after Feb. 17 can add to their standard deduction the state and local sales and excise taxes they paid for the vehicle. Eligibility for this tax break phases out for single filers with modified adjusted gross income between $125,000 and $135,000 (joint filers, $250,000 to $260,000), and the deduction is limited to taxes paid on up to $49,500 of the purchase price.

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02/19/2010 (8:42 am)

CHS plans acquisitions; HCA nabs Texas hospital

Filed under: news |

The nation’s two largest hospital chains signaled today that they are actively seeking acquisitions in the year ahead. Prime targets: Nonprofit hospitals whose investments were hit hard by the sour economy.

In back-to-back earnings calls with analysts, Nashville-based HCA Inc. and Franklin-based Community Health Systems Inc. both said they are well-positioned to take advantage of favorable pricing in the U.S. hospital market.

CHS, which operates 122 hospitals in 29 states, said it plans to make at least two acquisitions in 2010. In December, CHS closed on a deal to purchase Rockwood Clinic, P.S., a multi-speciality clinic with 32 locations in Washington State and Idaho. The buy helped lift CHS’ fourth-quarter profits 8.7 percent to $65.1 million for the fourth quarter that ended Dec. 31.

“There are a number of opportunities out there. We always like to keep our pipeline relatively full,” CHS Chairman Wayne Smith said during the call. “I think two in 2010 is a good number, but as usual it could be more than that.”

Smith said pricing for hospitals has been “very good,” at 50 to 60 cents on the dollar of net revenues compared to 80 cents to 100 cents on the dollar a few years ago.

Such low pricing will likely drive up the competition for hospitals, creating what CHS Chief Financial Officer Larry Cash called a “competitive window over the next 12 to 18 months.”

The window is open. In one of the first deals of 2010, HCA announced on Wednesday an agreement to acquire the Heart Hospital of Austin through its existing joint venture with Texas-based St. David’s HealthCare. According to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the deal is valued at $83.6 million.

“We needed additional cardiac capacity, and it made more sense than building a heart tower at one of our other facilities,” HCA Chairman and CEO Richard Bracken said when asked by an analyst about the acquisition. “There’s a lot of synergies there, and we’re excited about it.”

HCA’s fourth-quarter earnings results released today confirmed preliminary results announced three weeks ago that showed revenue of $7.61 billion, a 4.7 percent increase over the same period a year earlier.

The privately held operator of 163 hospitals and 105 freestanding surgery centers said today its same-facility admissions increased 2.6 percent on an adjusted basis during the fourth-quarter, boosted by a 9.1 percent increase in emergency-room visits.

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01/29/2010 (10:09 pm)

Main Headline Business Bulletin Board

Filed under: legal |

AWARDS

Communications and marketing agency Brighton won first place in the National Agri-Marketing Association’s Gateway Region competition for its work developing cottoncommunity.com, a social marketing site for cotton farmers.

Law firm Stinson Morrison Hecker LLP received the Legal Employer Diversity Recognition Award from the Black Law Students Association at Washington University.

EXPANDING
Maryland Heights-based Tagg Logistics is opening a new office in Reno, Nev., for distribution and packaging services.

Overland-based Clayco Inc., a real estate development, design and construction company, is opening a full service office in the Minneapolis area this year.

HELPING OUT

Ford Motor Co. and local Ford dealers raised $38,140 for St. Louis area schools through the "Drive One 4 UR School" program.

The Moneta Group Charitable Foundation donated $42,500 to area charities during 2009, bringing its total charitable donations during the past decade to more than $700,000.

St. Louis-based law firm Armstrong Teasdale LLP gave $2,878 to the American Red Cross after a "dress down" fundraising event.

OPENINGS

The Moore Law Firm LLC opened an office.

— 1001 Boardwalk Springs Place

Suite 111

O’Fallon, Mo. 63368

Phone: 636-887-5297

PROJECTS

Belleville-based Holland Construction Services Inc. is building a major expansion of Eckert’s Country Store and Restaurant in Belleville. The $5 million project, scheduled for completion later this year, will include a new store, an expansion of the Eckert’s Country Restaurant, more parking and a new outdoor plaza.

Edwardsville-based Contegra Construction Co. has completed a 42,500-square-foot, $2.5 million John Deere dealership in Scott City, Mo., for Wm. Nobbe and Co..

RECOGNITION

Don Downing, a principal in Gray, Ritter & Graham PC, was selected as a Fellow of the American Bar Foundation.

The Media Financial Management Association named Larry Rubin, partner-in-charge of Clayton-based RubinBrown’s media and entertainment services group, one of its People to Watch for 2010.

St. Louis-based Energizer Holdings Inc. and its partner Universal Power Group Inc. received Popular Mechanics magazine’s 2010 Editor’s Choice Award for the new Energizer All-in-One Auto Charger.

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01/28/2010 (5:57 pm)

Whitacre takes over GM CEO job on permanent basis

Filed under: business |

DETROIT—General Motors Co. chairman and CEO Ed Whitacre Jr., who said Monday he’ll stay on as head of the automaker for the time being, has reaffirmed that GM will repay in full the loans it got from the U.S. and Canadian governments by June.

Whitacre said GM’s board asked him last week to take on the position of chief executive permanently, ending a seven-week search for a new CEO.

“The board looked at the potential candidates and decided this place needs stability. We don’t need any more uncertainty,” Whitacre told reporters at a hastily called news conference at GM’s Detroit headquarters.

Whitacre also said GM will repay its $8.1 billion (U.S.) in loans from the U.S., Canadian and Ontario governments all at once and could pay them even earlier than June. The automaker owes $1.4 billion to the Canadian and Ontario governments, and has so far repaid $192 million.

Whitacre, 68, is a former CEO of telecommunications giant AT&T Inc.

He has been serving as interim CEO at GM since the board ousted former chief executive Fritz Henderson on Dec. 1. GM had hired a firm to conduct a global search for a successor.

Although GM had hired the search firm, there were strong signs that Whitacre would take the job permanently, or at least serve as CEO until the company is on solid enough ground to sell stock to the public in an effort to repay its government loans.

Whitacre wouldn’t name any candidates the board had considered. He said he intends to stay two or three years, or “long enough to get it done.”

Whitacre said he hadn’t planned to become CEO when he was named chairman, but feels comfortable at the company and knows what changes need to be made.

“I think this company is good for America. I think America needs this,” he said.

Whitacre often says in a folksy Texas drawl that he knows little about cars. But he’s already shaken up the company by hiring a new chief financial officer and transferring the old one to China, firing the Chevrolet and Buick-GMC brand managers, combining sales and marketing and consolidating control of GM’s core North American market under one executive no fax payday loans.

He also seems impatient to spur the plodding culture of GM, where decision by committee, an isolated upper management and fear of risk produced mediocre cars for years. He wants to increase GM’s sales and market share while shifting the company’s focus to cars from trucks.

Whitacre also confirmed Monday that Dutch luxury car maker Spyker Cars NV is still in talks with GM to buy its ailing Saab brand, but no deal has been reached.

Whitacre said GM is in “advanced talks” with Spyker but continues to wind down Saab’s operations.

“We do not have a deal to announce this morning,” he said.

GM spokesman Chris Preuss in Detroit would not say if the company is close to a deal with Spyker.

GM and Spyker negotiated through the weekend trying to work out a deal to save Saab, which GM has decided to jettison as part of its restructuring plan to focus on four core brands: Chevrolet, Cadillac, Buick and GMC.

Swedish media reported that a deal was close, but Preuss said nothing had been finalized as of Monday afternoon in Sweden.

A deal for Spyker to buy Saab by itself is unlikely: Spyker sold 23 cars in the first half of 2009, its most recent reporting period, and it posted a net loss of 8.7 million euros. The six-year-old company has yet to make a profit, but it says funding for its operations has been guaranteed through 2010.

Money for a deal to buy Saab could come from Spyker’s largest shareholder, Russia’s Conversbank Financial Group, or other shareholders. It would also likely involve a large loan from the European Investment Bank, backed by the government of Sweden.

Saab Automobile sold around 90,000 cars in 2008, a 30 per cent decline from 2007. With another sharp sales decline expected, it filed for protection from creditors while it reorganized in February 2009. GM said at the time it expected to sell Saab and take $1 billion in losses.

GM filed for bankruptcy itself in June. Its attempts to sell Saab by a Dec. 31 deadline failed.

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01/14/2010 (9:18 pm)

Heineken of Netherlands to buy Mexican brewer

Filed under: money |

Dutch brewer Heineken NV said Monday that it will buy the beer-making operations of Mexico’s Femsa in an all-share deal that values the maker of Dos Equis, Tecate and Sol beers at $5.5 billion, excluding debt.

The buy increases Heineken’s presence in growth markets and cements its position as the world’s second-largest brewer by sales. It also continues a decadelong trend toward concentration among the biggest players in the global beer market. Heineken is based in Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Femsa Cerveza brands have a 43 percent market share in Mexico and a 9 percent share in Brazil — two of the world’s top four most profitable beer markets, and both still fast-growing. Femsa’s Tecate and Dos Equis brands are also significant players in the U.S. imported beer market, where Heineken vies with Grupo Modelo’s Corona.

"This is a really good deal for Heineken, for our position in the Americas," Heineken Chief Executive Jean-Francois van Boxmeer said on a conference call. "As a worldwide brewer, this was a (region) where we perhaps were weaker."

Femsa Cerveza had sales of $3.8 billion in 2008, Heineken said. Including debt that Heineken will assume, the deal is worth $7.6 billion (euro5.3 billion).

Analysts welcomed the buy as a pleasant surprise, given that many had expected SABMiller PLC — now the world’s third-largest brewer by sales behind Anheuser-Busch InBev SA and Heineken — to win the race for Femsa.

Analyst Kris Kippers of Petercam Bank praised the deal as a "a great acquisition for Heineken" because Femsa was one of the few remaining large independent brewers in growth markets — and Heineken didn’t overpay. Heineken now has 40 percent of its operations in developing markets, up from 32 percent.

Femsa, or Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de CV, is based in Monterrey, Mexico. It is one of Mexico’s largest conglomerates, bottling Coca Cola and operating the Oxxo convenience store chain throughout much of Latin America, among other activities.

"In the context of the reconfiguration of the global brewing landscape, scale and geographic diversification are more important than ever," said Femsa CEO Jose Antonio Fernandez Carbajal on Monday.

"This transaction responds to that imperative."

Heineken said it expects the deal to close in the second quarter, pending approval from regulators and shareholders.

Heineken’s unusual holding structure allows descendants of the Heineken family to control Heineken NV, and the company said Monday they have agreed to the deal. A trust holding 39 percent of Femsa shares has also agreed, Heineken said.

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12/14/2009 (2:36 am)

Greek Finance Minister Promises to Speed Debt Cutting

Filed under: news |

Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou promised to speed up fiscal and budget reforms to overhaul the economy, saying the country has no time to spare after investor concerns sent bonds and stocks tumbling.

“The biggest gamble the government has is how to regain credibility,” Papaconstantinou said in a speech in Athens today. “The initiatives will be faster and more dynamic. We don’t have the luxury to wait. We will speed up everything, we owe it to the citizens of Greece.”

Greek bonds plunged to their lowest in seven months on Dec. 9 and stocks slumped after Fitch Ratings cut Greece one step to BBB+, saying Prime Minister George Papandreou’s two-month-old Pasok government isn’t doing enough to tame a deficit of 12.7 percent of output, the highest in the European Union. A day earlier, Standard & Poor’s put its A- rating on watch for downgrade.

European Central Bank Vice President Lucas Papademos today characterized Greece’s fiscal situation as “extremely serious,” in comments to reporters in Berlin.

“Greece should take decisive action and in a timely manner,” Papademos said.

Papaconstantinou said the government will begin talks next week on crafting a new tax system that will be fairer and more effective. An audit of government spending will begin next year with the assistance of international companies, he said Online payday loans.

Debt

The year will close with 300 billion euros ($438.5 billion) in debt and “we must stop the rising dynamic of it,” Papaconstantinou said. The stability plan the government will submit in January needs to include a plan for the “gradual reduction” of Greece’s debt, he said.

Nobel laureate Robert Mundell said in an interview with Bloomberg Television in Berlin today that a debt default by Greeece “would send shockwaves through the system.” He predicted the country would “handle the problem by itself,” although neighboring economies may eventually provide resources.

“This is a good occasion to set up a fund which is available for bailout, a kind of security fund,” he said. “Even if it won’t be used, there might be other occasions to come up at some point in the future.”

ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said yesterday that “courageous” action is needed to close the budget gap. Greece’s 2010 budget projects the deficit will be reduced to 9.1 percent of gross domestic product.

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12/06/2009 (6:54 am)

Bernanke faces fire at confirmation hearing

Filed under: business |

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke got a rough going over from both his supporters and detractors at his Senate confirmation hearing Thursday.

Even some of those who praised his actions during the financial troubles of the last two years, such as Senate Banking Committee Chairman Chris Dodd, balanced that support with arguments that the central bank should be stripped of some of its bank regulation powers due to its past failures of oversight.

While many Democrats on the banking panel joined Dodd in saying they would vote for another four-year term for Bernanke, some of the Republicans questioned whether they could support the chairman who was first appointed by President George W. Bush.

One long-time Bernanke critic Jim Bunning, R-Ky., said he was ready to do everything he could to block or delay the confirmation, joining a similar threat made late Wednesday by Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Socialist senator from Vermont who is among the 60 members of the Democratic caucus.

The threat of a filibuster by Sanders and Bunning, two senators with diametrically opposed views on most issues, shows the breadth of anger faced by Bernanke sparked by the Wall Street bailouts of the 15 months. A filibuster would mean that Bernanke would need to get at least 60 votes, rather than the simple majority of 51, in order to be confirmed.

And the questions by Dodd and others about the Fed’s continued role as a bank regulator raised questions about how Bernanke will be able to do his job if he is confirmed for another term, which is still widely expected.

Dodd said Bernanke and the Fed deserved credit for the steps taken in the financial crisis of a year earlier to stop the economic crisis from becoming significantly worse than it did.

"I believe you are the right leader for this moment in the nation’s economic history and I believe your reappointment sends the right signal to markets," Dodd said during his opening statement.

But the committee’s ranking Republican, Sen. Richard Shelby of Alabama, was far more critical of Bernanke in his opening statement, telling Bernanke "I fear now our trust and confidence (in the Federal Reserve) was misplaced."

"Not everything that went wrong depends on the system because that system also depends on the people who run it," he told Bernanke. "It’s those individuals who need to be accountable for their actions or their failure to act."

Still, despite the implication that he couldn’t support confirmation, Shelby did not say how he intended to vote.

Two of the Republicans on the committee, Judd Gregg of New Hampshire and Bob Corker of Tennessee, did praise Bernanke and said they would vote for his confirmation.

"The simple fact is if you hadn’t been there and been willing to take extraordinary action last fall and last winter and in early spring…it’s very likely we would be experiencing a depression or if not a depression then certainly a recession that is radically more severe," said Gregg.

The next step in Bernanke’s confirmation would be a vote by the committee, which has not yet been scheduled.

Corker said he is certain Bernanke will be confirmed, although he held out the possiblity that the full Senate might not vote on confirmation until it was done with debate about reforming financial regulation. But he said that under law, Bernanke would stay in the top job at the Fed, even if the confirmation vote did not occur before the end of his term as chairman on Jan. 31.

Fight over Fed’s future powers

But there was a lot of talk even from Bernanke’s supporters on the committee, both Democrat and Republican, about the need to limit the Fed’s role as part of an overhaul of financial regulation.

Dodd has proposed legislation that would strip much of the bank supervisory duties from the Fed, giving them instead to a newly created authority. He said it might be better if the Fed simply focuses on using monetary policy to support economic growth and fight inflation while maintaining a stable financial system.

Dodd also said the financial crisis is at least partly due to poor supervision of the banking sector by the Fed.

"I admire what you’ve done over the last two years," he said. "But we shouldn’t have had to go through what we did for the last two years had there been cops on the street, doing their jobs, telling us what was going on and allowing us to avoid the problems in the first place."

"Why should I give an institution that failed in that responsibility the kind of exclusive authority we’re talking about here?," Dodd asked no faxing payday loans.

Bernanke responded that the Fed could not have taken the steps that Dodd had praised to stabilize the financial system if it were stripped of its role as banking regulator.

"There’s no way we could have been as involved and effective in this crisis if we did not have that knowledge and expertise," he said.

Bernanke also opposed a proposal that recently passed the House Financial Services Committee to give the General Accountability Office power to audit the Fed’s monetary decisions, saying that it would be seen by investors as giving Congress the power to pressure the Fed to reverse or delay unpopular rate hikes.

He said if there are increased worries about Congressional interference in Fed activity, the central bank would not be able to stop real rates from rising because investors would demand higher yields on bonds.

Questioned by Sen. Robert Bennett, R-Utah, about the risk of a return of soaring inflation of the late 1970’s, and whether the Fed would have to raise rates to the record highs of that era to once again to conquer such runaway prices, Bernanke said he was confident there is not a risk of a return of such inflation.

But he added that the ability of the Fed to beat inflation at that time was a "case study" of why Congress should not audit monetary decisions of the Fed.

Mistakes were made

Bernanke admitted that the Fed made mistakes in supervising the banking system ahead of the financial crisis, and promised to do better. But he said that supervision is already improving, and that it would be a bad idea to strip the Fed of its powers.

"If you fight a battle and lose the battle, does that mean you never use the army again? You have to improve and fix the situation. You don’t have to necessarily eliminate the institution," he said in response to one of Shelby’s question. "We didn’t do a perfect job by any means, but I don’t think we stand out as having done a worst job than other regulators."

Bunning, the only member of the Senate to vote against Bernanke when he was first nominated to head the central bank four years ago, was again his harshest critic.

Bunning said Bernanke and previous chairman Alan Greenspan were responsible for helping to inflate the housing bubble whose bursting caused the housing crisis, and that the Fed continues to create more problems by pumping too much cheap money into the system.

At one point Bunning even slipped and referred to Bernanke as "Greenspan," prompting chuckles from both the chairman and his critic.

"You put the printing presses into overdrive to fund the government spending and hand out cheap money to your masters on Wall Street, which they used to rake in record profits while ordinary Americans and small businesses can’t get loans for their everyday needs," Bunning said. "Where I come from we punish failure, we don’t reward it."

He attacked Bernanke for the bailout of American International Group (AIG, Fortune 500) and a recent report from an inspector general that the Fed should not have paid 100% of the money owed by AIG to leading financial firms.

"The AIG bailout alone is reason enough to send you back to Princeton," Bunning said, referring to where Bernanke taught before entering government.

Dodd joined Bunning in his criticism of the Fed’s handling of those payments in the AIG bailout. Bernanke answered that he did not have the leverage to force those banks to accept lower payments, known as a "haircut," during those negotiations.

"The only way to get the haircut is to have a credible threat that if you don’t take the haircut they’re going to go bankrupt and you’re going to lose everything," he said in response to a question later in the hearing. "And since we had intervened to prevent AIG from going bankrupt, it just wasn’t credible."

Bernanke insisted that what was done to bailout Wall Street was done because of the impact further failures would have had on Main Street.

"I’m not a Wall Street person. I’m an academic. I come from a small town," he said. "I did it because I knew from my studies that the collapse of the financial system would have extraordinarily bad consequences for Main Street. And I firmly believe we did the right thing." 

Source

12/04/2009 (8:45 pm)

South Korea’s Economy Expanded a Revised 3.2% in Third Quarter

Filed under: marketing |

South Korea’s economy expanded at a faster pace than initially estimated in the third quarter, boosted by rising overseas orders for cars and semiconductors plus local spending by consumers and companies.

Gross domestic product increased 3.2 percent in the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with the 2.9 percent gain reported in October, the central bank said in Seoul today. The economy grew 0.9 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier, compared with the previous estimate of 0.6 percent.

“South Korea’s economy has benefited from relatively better exports as well as the effects of expansionary policies,” said Ryu Seung Sun, an economist at HMC Investment Securities Co. in Seoul. “Economic growth will remain relatively strong, even though the pace may weaken somewhat in coming quarters.”

South Korea has led a regional rebound with China and Singapore as companies including Samsung Electronics Co. and LG Electronics Inc. reported a jump in profits. The nation is projected to be one of the first in Asia to boost interest rates as it helps lead the region out of a slowdown caused by the global financial crisis.

LG Electronics Inc., the world’s second-largest maker of liquid-crystal-display televisions, reported third-quarter profit that beat analysts’ estimates, driven by record shipments of televisions and higher sales of appliances.

Government Spending

The central bank and the government have raised their economic forecasts for this year. Finance Minister Yoon Jeung Hyun said the economy will probably post zero growth, reversing an earlier forecast for a contraction, and President Lee Myung Bak said last month GDP may expand 5 percent in 2010.

To help prevent the economy from sliding into a recession, the central bank cut the benchmark interest rate by 3.25 percentage points between October and February to a record-low 2 percent and the government increased spending payday loans for bad credit. The benchmark Kospi stock index has risen 44 percent this year and sales at the nation’s main department stores gained the most in 14 months in October.

Exports, which account for about half of the $929 billion economy, rose for the first time in 13 months in November, a government report showed Dec. 1. Overseas shipments will increase 13 percent to $410 billion next year, boosted by demand for semiconductors, cars and display panels, the government said.

South Korea’s exports of goods gained 5.2 percent in the third quarter from the previous three months, compared with the initial 5.1 percent gain estimated in October, today’s report showed. Corporate investment in factories and equipment climbed 10.4 percent in the quarter, up from the 8.9 percent initial estimate.

Private Consumption

Private consumption rose 1.5 from the second quarter, up from the 1.4 percent earlier estimated. Manufacturing rose 9.8 percent from the second quarter compared with the initial estimate of 8.7 percent, while construction investment dropped 2 percent.

Still, there are signs economic growth may slow in coming months. Manufacturers’ confidence has slipped to the lowest level in four months due to uncertainty about the outlook for domestic demand. Consumer confidence also fell in November for the first time in eight months and factory production unexpectedly declined 3.8 percent in October from September.

South Korea’s corporate earnings may fall short of analyst estimates in 2010 as costs climb and the benefits from stimulus measures fade, according to Samsung Securities Co., the nation’s top-ranked brokerage.

Source

11/23/2009 (6:48 pm)

Bank of Japan, Government Clash Over Deflation Risk to Economy

Filed under: news |

Japan’s government and central bank clashed over the threat of deflation, indicating Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama may want stronger monetary stimulus to buttress the economy’s recovery.

The Bank of Japan yesterday said growth is “picking up,” and Governor Masaaki Shirakawa said public expectations for consumer prices remain stable. By contrast, Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii said there’s a “sense of crisis” over deflation and Deputy Prime Minister Naoto Kan urged the central bank to take action to overcome the price slump.

Hatoyama’s administration, which took office in September, is signaling it wants the central bank to step up its purchases of government bonds from the current 1.8 trillion yen ($20 billion) a month to inject more cash into the banking system, analysts said. Shirakawa said yesterday that liquidity alone won’t raise prices.

“Given the bank’s independence, the government can’t ask the BOJ directly to cut rates or buy more bonds,” said Hiroshi Miyazaki, chief economist at Shinkin Asset Management Co. in Tokyo. “That’s why it’s using this term ‘deflation’ to force the BOJ to step up its accommodative measures.”

The policy board kept the overnight lending rate at 0.1 percent at yesterday’s meeting in a unanimous decision, and Shirakawa pledged to maintain low borrowing costs. The BOJ will keep the benchmark rate on hold through 2010, according to 15 of 17 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News this month.

Shares Slump

Sustained price declines threaten to curtail a corporate profit rebound that’s already been insufficient to spur a rally in Japan’s shares this quarter. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average sank 2.8 percent this week, its sharpest slump in seven weeks.

While gross domestic product grew an annualized 4.8 percent last quarter, the fastest pace in more than two years, a gauge of prices excluding imports tumbled the most in 51 years, a Cabinet Office report showed this week.

Discounts by retailers from Aeon Co. to Fast Retailing Co. are helping push down consumer prices, which slid 2.3 percent in September, a seventh drop. The central bank said last month it expects them to keep sliding through fiscal 2011.

“Given the tremendous decline in demand through the early part of this fiscal year, downward pressure on prices will probably linger for quite some time,” Shirakawa said, adding that the government shares the view. He said they are falling because of weak corporate and consumer demand and policy makers should work to boost growth expectations and spending pay day loans.

Deflation Declaration

The Cabinet Office said yesterday that Japan “is in a mild deflationary phase,” referring to declining prices in its monthly economic evaluation for the first time since June 2006.

“I expect monetary support from the central bank in order to overcome these deflationary conditions,” Kan said.

Finance Minister Fujii called on the central bank to respond to the deflation threat, while acknowledging rates are already “very low,” limiting room for further monetary action.

“The government’s surprise declaration is less of a sudden change in its price outlook than a step toward loosening fiscal discipline,” said Junko Nishioka, chief economist at RBS Securities Japan Ltd. in Tokyo. She said the central bank would resist pressure to increase bond purchases and instead state a commitment to keep rates low for a specific period.

Deflation blighted Japan during its so-called lost decade of stagnation after an asset bubble burst in the early 1990s. The central bank responded by flooding the economy with cash in so-called quantitative easing from 2001 to 2006, a policy that Shirakawa has said had limited impact on economic growth.

OECD’s Suggestion

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said this week that an increase in the Bank of Japan’s government bond purchases would combat deflation by adding liquidity to markets and pushing up price expectations.

Increasing the monthly debt buying may also help to contain long-term interest rates as the government struggles to restrict the budget amid a slump in tax revenue. Shirakawa has said the debt purchases aren’t aimed at funding fiscal spending or propping up bond markets.

Yields on 10-year government bonds climbed to a four-month high on Nov. 10 on concern that spending by the Hatoyama administration will increase a public debt burden that’s approaching twice the size of the economy. They have since retreated to 1.305 percent.

“Sure, more fiscal spending by the government combined with more bond buying by the central bank may make it easier for Japan to get rid of deflation,” said Masaaki Kanno, chief economist at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Tokyo, who used to work at the central bank. “But it’s problematic if the central bank keeps raising bond purchases without limit.”

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